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National League South | Gameweek 22
Dec 6, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Longmead Stadium

Tonbridge Angels
3 - 0
Eastbourne

Greenidge (1'), Aransibia (48'), Wood (62')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Tonbridge Angels and Eastbourne Borough.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hungerford 0-1 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 2-1 Chippenham
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastbourne Borough win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 36.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eastbourne Borough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (5.95%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Tonbridge AngelsDrawEastbourne Borough
36.68% (0.022999999999996 0.02) 24.76% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 38.57% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 58.62% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.46% (0.021999999999998 0.02)44.54% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.09% (0.022000000000006 0.02)66.91% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.07% (0.019999999999996 0.02)23.93% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.85% (0.030999999999999 0.03)58.15% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Eastbourne Borough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.06% (0.0019999999999953 0)22.93% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)56.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Tonbridge Angels 36.68%
    Eastbourne Borough 38.57%
    Draw 24.75%
Tonbridge AngelsDrawEastbourne Borough
2-1 @ 8.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 7.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.61% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.94% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.68% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.41% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 36.68%
1-1 @ 11.55% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.08% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 5.49% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.42% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.75%
1-2 @ 8.51% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-1 @ 8.08% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.95% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 4.18% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-3 @ 2.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 2.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.54% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.1%
0-4 @ 1.08% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 38.57%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Hungerford 0-1 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 1-1 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 3-2 Tonbridge Angels
Tuesday, November 22 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 1-2 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Concord Rangers 1-0 Tonbridge Angels
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 1-2 Bath City
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 2-1 Chippenham
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in National League South
Last Game: Slough 1-5 Eastbourne
Saturday, November 26 at 1pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 1-2 Eastbourne
Tuesday, November 22 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 1-0 St Albans City
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough Town 0-0 Eastbourne
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 3-0 Cheshunt
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in National League South


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