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National League South | Gameweek 13
Nov 22, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Vauxhall Ground

Hemel Hempstead
1 - 2
Eastbourne

Dada (31')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hutchinson (49', 69')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Hemel Hempstead Town and Eastbourne Borough.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford City 2-2 Hemel Hempstead
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 1-0 St Albans City
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 43.67%. A win for Eastbourne Borough had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Eastbourne Borough win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawEastbourne Borough
43.67% (0.717 0.72) 24.78% (-0.683 -0.68) 31.55% (-0.032999999999998 -0.03)
Both teams to score 57.2% (2.287 2.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.19% (2.99 2.99)45.81% (-2.989 -2.99)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.87% (2.775 2.78)68.13% (-2.775 -2.77)
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.97% (1.601 1.6)21.03% (-1.6 -1.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.17% (2.438 2.44)53.82% (-2.438 -2.44)
Eastbourne Borough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.44% (1.457 1.46)27.56% (-1.457 -1.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.92% (1.84 1.84)63.08% (-1.84 -1.84)
Score Analysis
    Hemel Hempstead Town 43.67%
    Eastbourne Borough 31.55%
    Draw 24.77%
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawEastbourne Borough
2-1 @ 9.08% (0.111 0.11)
1-0 @ 9.04% (-0.721 -0.72)
2-0 @ 7.05% (-0.203 -0.2)
3-1 @ 4.72% (0.278 0.28)
3-0 @ 3.66% (0.071 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.04% (0.293 0.29)
4-1 @ 1.84% (0.189 0.19)
4-0 @ 1.43% (0.094 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.164 0.16)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 43.67%
1-1 @ 11.64% (-0.43 -0.43)
2-2 @ 5.85% (0.303 0.3)
0-0 @ 5.8% (-0.771 -0.77)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.173 0.17)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.77%
1-2 @ 7.51% (0.037 0.04)
0-1 @ 7.47% (-0.655 -0.65)
0-2 @ 4.81% (-0.213 -0.21)
1-3 @ 3.22% (0.143 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.51% (0.226 0.23)
0-3 @ 2.07% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.04% (0.086 0.09)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 31.55%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Oxford City 2-2 Hemel Hempstead
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 3-2 Hungerford
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 2-0 Hemel Hempstead
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 1-1 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chippenham 0-1 Hemel Hempstead
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 2-1 Hemel Hempstead
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 1-0 St Albans City
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough Town 0-0 Eastbourne
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 3-0 Cheshunt
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 5-0 Eastbourne
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 0-1 Hampton
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 1-2 Braintree
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League South


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