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National League South | Gameweek 20
Nov 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
Longmead Stadium
H&

Tonbridge Angels
1 - 1
Havant & W'ville

Greenidge (9')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Fall (84')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Tonbridge Angels and Havant & Waterlooville.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Worthing 3-2 Tonbridge Angels
Tuesday, November 22 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Chippenham 0-3 Havant & W'ville
Tuesday, November 15 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 48.89%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 26.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
Tonbridge AngelsDrawHavant & Waterlooville
26.99% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 24.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 48.89% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.5% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.59% (0.034000000000006 0.03)45.41% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.25% (0.032000000000004 0.03)67.74% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.46% (0.018000000000001 0.02)30.54% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.24% (0.021000000000001 0.02)66.76% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Havant & Waterlooville Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.34% (0.016000000000005 0.02)18.66% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.01% (0.028000000000006 0.03)49.98% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Tonbridge Angels 26.99%
    Havant & Waterlooville 48.89%
    Draw 24.11%
Tonbridge AngelsDrawHavant & Waterlooville
1-0 @ 6.76% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.73%
2-0 @ 4.01% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 2.66% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.23% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 1.59%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 26.99%
1-1 @ 11.34% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.7% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.11%
0-1 @ 9.57% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.53% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 8.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 5.33% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-3 @ 4.49% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-3 @ 3.16% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 2.24% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-4 @ 1.89% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.33% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 48.89%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Worthing 3-2 Tonbridge Angels
Tuesday, November 22 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 1-2 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Concord Rangers 1-0 Tonbridge Angels
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 1-2 Bath City
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Taunton Town 4-1 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 1-0 Chelmsford City
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Chippenham 0-3 Havant & W'ville
Tuesday, November 15 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 5-1 Dulwich Hamlet
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 2-0 Hemel Hempstead
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 0-1 Ebbsfleet
Wednesday, November 2 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Cheshunt 2-3 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 2-2 Bath City
Wednesday, October 26 at 7.45pm in National League South


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