SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 72.72%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 10.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.5%) and 3-0 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%), while for a Tonbridge Angels win it was 0-1 (3.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Tonbridge Angels |
72.72% ( 0.27) | 17.21% ( 0.15) | 10.07% ( -0.43) |
| Both teams to score 45.65% ( -2.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.3% ( -1.98) | 42.7% ( 1.98) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.89% ( -2) | 65.1% ( 1.99) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.68% ( -0.46) | 10.31% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.26% ( -1.04) | 33.74% ( 1.03) |
| Tonbridge Angels Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.9% ( -2.14) | 49.1% ( 2.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.97% ( -1.57) | 84.03% ( 1.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Tonbridge Angels |
| 2-0 @ 13.06% ( 0.64) 1-0 @ 11.5% ( 0.77)3-0 @ 9.9% ( 0.3)2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 7.04% ( -0.21)4-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 4% ( -0.2)5-0 @ 2.55% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.24)5-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.17)6-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.04% Total : 72.71% | 1-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.43)2-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.24)Other @ 0.66% Total : 17.21% | 0-1 @ 3.6% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.28% Total : 10.07% |
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