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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 56.71%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 21.82% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.39%) and 1-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 1-2 (5.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Worthing | Draw | Tonbridge Angels |
56.71% ( -0.11) | 21.46% ( -0.49) | 21.82% ( 0.6) |
| Both teams to score 59.71% ( 2.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.53% ( 3.04) | 38.46% ( -3.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.24% ( 3.15) | 60.75% ( -3.15) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.55% ( 0.98) | 13.44% ( -0.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.57% ( 1.93) | 40.42% ( -1.93) |
| Tonbridge Angels Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.99% ( 2.27) | 31.01% ( -2.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.68% ( 2.58) | 67.31% ( -2.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Worthing | Draw | Tonbridge Angels |
| 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 8.39% ( -0.6)1-0 @ 8.37% ( -0.93)3-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.18)3-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.33)4-1 @ 3.3% ( 0.21)4-0 @ 2.82% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.23)5-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.13)5-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.6% Total : 56.71% | 1-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.43) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.31)0-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.63)3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.21)Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.46% | 1-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 4.88% ( -0.4)0-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.25)1-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.18)0-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.75% Total : 21.82% |
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