Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 52.74%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 24.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.42%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 2-1 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.