SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 40.31%. A win for Braintree Town had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Braintree Town win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torquay United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Torquay United | Draw | Braintree Town |
40.31% ( 0.11) | 25.81% ( -0.02) | 33.88% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 54.51% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.33% ( 0.04) | 49.66% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.31% ( 0.03) | 71.68% ( -0.04) |
| Torquay United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.67% ( 0.07) | 24.33% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.28% ( 0.1) | 58.71% ( -0.11) |
| Braintree Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.03% ( -0.05) | 27.96% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.39% ( -0.06) | 63.6% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Torquay United | Draw | Braintree Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.62% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.08% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.85% Total : 40.31% | 1-1 @ 12.25% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.52% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.81% | 0-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.81% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 2.82% Total : 33.88% |
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