SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 51.5%. A win for Braintree Town had a probability of 26.21% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.65%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Braintree Town win was 1-2 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Worthing in this match.
| Result | ||
| Worthing | Draw | Braintree Town |
51.5% ( 0.64) | 22.29% ( -0.19) | 26.21% ( -0.44) |
| Both teams to score 62.14% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.36% ( 0.54) | 37.64% ( -0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.12% ( 0.58) | 59.88% ( -0.57) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.18% ( 0.41) | 14.82% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.88% ( 0.77) | 43.12% ( -0.77) |
| Braintree Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.95% ( -0.03) | 27.05% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.58% ( -0.04) | 62.42% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Worthing | Draw | Braintree Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.65% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.08% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 2.9% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.05)Other @ 4.17% Total : 51.5% | 1-1 @ 10% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.01% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.29% | 1-2 @ 6.54% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 5.24% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.72% 0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.99% Total : 26.21% |
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