SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 50.69%. A win for Havant & Waterlooville had a probability of 26.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Havant & Waterlooville win was 1-2 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torquay United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Torquay United | Draw | Havant & Waterlooville |
50.69% ( 0.12) | 22.5% ( -0.03) | 26.81% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 61.98% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.89% ( 0.05) | 38.11% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.63% ( 0.05) | 60.37% ( -0.06) |
| Torquay United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.74% ( 0.06) | 15.26% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.05% ( 0.11) | 43.95% ( -0.11) |
| Havant & Waterlooville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.14% ( -0.04) | 26.86% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.84% ( -0.05) | 62.16% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Torquay United | Draw | Havant & Waterlooville |
| 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.71% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.97% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.8% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.13% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.96% Total : 50.69% | 1-1 @ 10.12% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.72% ( 0)Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.49% | 1-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.39% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 2.15% Total : 26.81% |
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