SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 48.59%. A win for Havant & Waterlooville had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.25%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Havant & Waterlooville win was 2-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Havant & Waterlooville | Draw | Worthing |
28.81% ( -0.01) | 22.61% ( -0) | 48.59% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 63.3% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.91% ( 0.01) | 37.1% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.71% ( 0.01) | 59.29% ( -0.01) |
| Havant & Waterlooville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.02% ( -0) | 24.99% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.37% ( -0) | 59.64% ( 0.01) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.38% ( 0.01) | 15.63% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.37% ( 0.02) | 44.63% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Havant & Waterlooville | Draw | Worthing |
| 2-1 @ 6.97% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.41% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.76% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.22% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.99% 3-0 @ 1.74% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.57% Total : 28.81% | 1-1 @ 10.05% 2-2 @ 6.47% 0-0 @ 3.9% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.85% ( 0)Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.61% | 1-2 @ 9.33% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.25% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.73% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.77% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.16% ( 0)2-3 @ 4% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.68% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.93% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.86% ( 0)1-5 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 3.89% Total : 48.59% |
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