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National League South | Gameweek 43
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Mill Field
H&

Aveley
1 - 2
Havant & W'ville

Coleman De-Graft (57')
FT(HT: 0-0)
McNerney (50'), Seager (87')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Aveley and Havant & Waterlooville.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 3-4 Aveley
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 1-5 Worthing
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aveley win with a probability of 46.15%. A win for Havant & Waterlooville had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aveley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Havant & Waterlooville win was 0-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
AveleyDrawHavant & Waterlooville
46.15% (-0.136 -0.14) 24.55% (0.045999999999999 0.05) 29.3% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Both teams to score 56.76% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.15% (-0.152 -0.15)45.85% (0.157 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.84% (-0.142 -0.14)68.16% (0.14699999999999 0.15)
Aveley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.04% (-0.119 -0.12)19.96% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.87% (-0.194 -0.19)52.13% (0.198 0.2)
Havant & Waterlooville Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.92% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)29.08% (0.014999999999997 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)65% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Aveley 46.15%
    Havant & Waterlooville 29.3%
    Draw 24.55%
AveleyDrawHavant & Waterlooville
1-0 @ 9.36% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.54% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.05% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.09% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.01% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.63% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 46.15%
1-1 @ 11.55% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.81% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.55%
0-1 @ 7.17% (0.045 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.13% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.43% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.94% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.82% (0.01 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 29.3%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 3-4 Aveley
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Aveley 2-1 St Albans City
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough 3-1 Aveley
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Aveley 2-1 Tonbridge Angels
Monday, March 11 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Aveley 0-2 Weymouth
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Aveley 0-0 Yeovil
Monday, March 4 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 1-5 Worthing
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 4-1 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 0-0 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 2-1 Slough
Wednesday, March 13 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 2-2 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 0-2 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League South


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