SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 41.19%. A win for Bath City had a probability of 32.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Bath City win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Albans City | Draw | Bath City |
41.19% ( 0.07) | 25.94% ( -0.03) | 32.86% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 53.81% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.55% ( 0.11) | 50.44% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.62% ( 0.1) | 72.37% ( -0.1) |
| St Albans City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.77% ( 0.09) | 24.22% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.43% ( 0.12) | 58.57% ( -0.13) |
| Bath City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.01% ( 0.03) | 28.99% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.11% ( 0.04) | 64.88% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Albans City | Draw | Bath City |
| 1-0 @ 9.96% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.06% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.13% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.86% Total : 41.19% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.93% | 0-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.63% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.15% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.22% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 2.57% Total : 32.87% |
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