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National League South | Gameweek 4
Aug 19, 2023 at 3pm UK
Priory Lane Stadium

Eastbourne
1 - 2
Bath City

Sheriff (77')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Thomas (24'), Cooke (45+3' pen.)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Eastbourne Borough and Bath City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aveley 2-0 Eastbourne
Monday, August 14 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 2-6 Weston
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastbourne Borough win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for Bath City had a probability of 33.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eastbourne Borough win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Bath City win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Eastbourne BoroughDrawBath City
40.92% (-0.272 -0.27) 25.85% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 33.23% (0.301 0.3)
Both teams to score 54.22% (0.17299999999999 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.04% (0.184 0.18)49.95% (-0.181 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.06% (0.164 0.16)71.94% (-0.161 -0.16)
Eastbourne Borough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.86% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)24.14% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.55% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)58.45% (0.083000000000006 0.08)
Bath City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.48% (0.282 0.28)28.52% (-0.278 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.7% (0.352 0.35)64.3% (-0.34999999999999 -0.35)
Score Analysis
    Eastbourne Borough 40.92%
    Bath City 33.23%
    Draw 25.84%
Eastbourne BoroughDrawBath City
1-0 @ 9.78% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
2-1 @ 8.72% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.95% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.13% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.29% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.59% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.47% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 40.92%
1-1 @ 12.27% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.88% (-0.050999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.027 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.84%
0-1 @ 8.64% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 7.7% (0.05 0.05)
0-2 @ 5.42% (0.045 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.22% (0.046 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.29% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.27% (0.036 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.01% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 33.23%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Aveley 2-0 Eastbourne
Monday, August 14 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough Town 1-1 Eastbourne
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 1-0 Hampton
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 2-1 Concord Rangers
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 2-0 Eastbourne
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 3-0 Hemel Hempstead
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 2-6 Weston
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 3-0 Maidstone
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 3-3 Bath City
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 2-1 Oxford City
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hungerford 1-2 Bath City
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Cheshunt 2-1 Bath City
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League South


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