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National League South | Gameweek 6
Aug 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Treyew Road

Truro City
3 - 1
Farnborough Town

Neal (65'), Harvey (81', 90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Holmes (90+4')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Truro City and Farnborough Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Eastbourne 0-1 Truro City
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough Town 3-0 Weston
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 43.65%. A win for Truro City had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Truro City win was 1-0 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Truro CityDrawFarnborough Town
29.39% (-0.138 -0.14) 26.96% (0.068999999999999 0.07) 43.65% (0.077000000000005 0.08)
Both teams to score 49.22% (-0.26900000000001 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.33% (-0.312 -0.31)55.68% (0.319 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.18% (-0.255 -0.25)76.83% (0.26100000000001 0.26)
Truro City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.91% (-0.26900000000001 -0.27)34.09% (0.275 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.22% (-0.291 -0.29)70.78% (0.297 0.3)
Farnborough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.69% (-0.101 -0.1)25.32% (0.107 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.91% (-0.143 -0.14)60.09% (0.149 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Truro City 29.39%
    Farnborough Town 43.65%
    Draw 26.95%
Truro CityDrawFarnborough Town
1-0 @ 9.29% (0.044 0.04)
2-1 @ 6.87% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.46% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.79% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.69% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 29.39%
1-1 @ 12.75% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.63% (0.106 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.72% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.95%
0-1 @ 11.85% (0.11 0.11)
1-2 @ 8.76% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.14% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-3 @ 4.01% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.73% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.38% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.28%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 43.65%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Eastbourne 0-1 Truro City
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Truro City 1-2 Hampton
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Yeovil 2-1 Truro City
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 3-2 Truro City
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Truro City 5-2 Welling United
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Charlton 3-1 Truro City
Sunday, November 5 at 2pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Farnborough Town 3-0 Weston
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 1-1 Farnborough Town
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough Town 2-1 Hemel Hempstead
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough Town 1-1 Eastbourne
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 1-0 Farnborough Town
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 2-0 Farnborough Town
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in National League South


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