SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 50.96%. A win for Truro City had a probability of 25.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.2%). The likeliest Truro City win was 2-1 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Truro City | Draw | Worthing |
25.56% ( 4.03) | 23.48% ( 0.72) | 50.96% ( -4.75) |
| Both teams to score 57.31% ( 2.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.26% ( 1.03) | 43.73% ( -1.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.88% ( 0.99) | 66.12% ( -1) |
| Truro City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.24% ( 4.06) | 30.76% ( -4.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.97% ( 4.53) | 67.03% ( -4.54) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.77% ( -1.32) | 17.23% ( 1.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.47% ( -2.37) | 47.53% ( 2.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Truro City | Draw | Worthing |
| 2-1 @ 6.48% ( 0.81) 1-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.4)2-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.6)3-1 @ 2.55% ( 0.55)3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.41)3-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.36)Other @ 2.92% Total : 25.56% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.49)0-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.24)3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.19)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.47% | 1-2 @ 9.66% ( -0.21) 0-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.86)0-2 @ 8.2% ( -1.17)1-3 @ 5.66% ( -0.39)0-3 @ 4.8% ( -0.93)2-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.15)1-4 @ 2.49% ( -0.29)0-4 @ 2.11% ( -0.52)2-4 @ 1.47% ( 0)Other @ 3.91% Total : 50.96% |
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