Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 54.3%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 23.78% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.09%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 2-1 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
Hemel Hempstead Town	Draw	Worthing
23.78% ( 0.12)	21.92% ( 0.12)	54.3% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 60.75% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.72% (

-0.43)

38.28% (

0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.44% (

-0.45)

60.56% (

0.45)

Hemel Hempstead Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.75% (

-0.14)

29.24% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.8% (

-0.17)

65.2% (

0.17)

Worthing Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.86% (

-0.22)

14.13% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.21% (

-0.43)

41.79% (

0.43)

Score Analysis

Hemel Hempstead Town 23.78%

Worthing 54.3%

Draw 21.92%

Hemel Hempstead Town	Draw	Worthing
2-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.51% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.23% Total : 23.78%	1-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.27% Total : 21.92%	1-2 @ 9.73% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 6.34% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 5.16% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 3.1% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 2.52% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 1.21% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.43% Total : 54.3%