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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 54.3%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 23.78% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.09%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 2-1 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Worthing |
23.78% ( 0.12) | 21.92% ( 0.12) | 54.3% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 60.75% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.72% ( -0.43) | 38.28% ( 0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.44% ( -0.45) | 60.56% ( 0.45) |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.75% ( -0.14) | 29.24% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.8% ( -0.17) | 65.2% ( 0.17) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.86% ( -0.22) | 14.13% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.21% ( -0.43) | 41.79% ( 0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Worthing |
| 2-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.51% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.23% Total : 23.78% | 1-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.27% Total : 21.92% | 1-2 @ 9.73% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 6.34% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 5.16% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 3.1% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 2.52% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 1.21% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.43% Total : 54.3% |
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