SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Welling United win with a probability of 57.18%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 21.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Welling United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 1-2 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Welling United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Welling United | Draw | Dover Athletic |
57.18% ( -0) | 21.76% ( 0.01) | 21.06% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.5% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.14% ( -0.04) | 40.85% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.75% ( -0.04) | 63.24% ( 0.04) |
| Welling United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.9% ( -0.02) | 14.09% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.29% ( -0.03) | 41.71% ( 0.02) |
| Dover Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.93% ( -0.03) | 33.06% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.34% ( -0.03) | 69.65% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Welling United | Draw | Dover Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 9.9% 1-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.95% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.47% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.84% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.58% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.17% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.86% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.75% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.24% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 3.17% Total : 57.18% | 1-1 @ 10.1% 2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.76% | 1-2 @ 5.59% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.16% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.85% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.06% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.32% Total : 21.06% |
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