Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 51.9%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 24.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Welling United win was 0-1 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torquay United would win this match.
Result | ||
Torquay United | Draw | Welling United |
51.9% ( 0.01) | 23.6% ( -0.01) | 24.49% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 55.77% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.75% ( 0.01) | 45.24% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.41% ( 0.02) | 67.59% ( -0.02) |
Torquay United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.56% ( 0.01) | 17.44% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.1% ( 0.02) | 47.9% ( -0.02) |
Welling United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.56% ( 0) | 32.44% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.03% ( 0) | 68.96% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Torquay United | Draw | Welling United |
1-0 @ 9.88% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.63% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.65% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.02% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.47% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.19% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0) Other @ 3.77% Total : 51.9% | 1-1 @ 11.12% 0-0 @ 5.66% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.6% | 0-1 @ 6.37% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.26% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.59% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.35% 2-3 @ 2.05% 0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 24.49% |
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