Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 51.9%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 24.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Welling United win was 0-1 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torquay United would win this match.