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National League South | Gameweek 13
Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Plainmoor Ground

Torquay Utd
5 - 1
Welling United

Jarvis (35' pen., 65' pen.), McGavin (40'), Donnellan (59'), Marshall (76')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Adom (18')
Holden (74')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Torquay United and Welling United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torquay Utd 0-1 Maidstone
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 2-2 Farnborough
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 51.9%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 24.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Welling United win was 0-1 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torquay United would win this match.

Result
Torquay UnitedDrawWelling United
51.9% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 23.6% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 24.49% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.77% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.75% (0.014000000000003 0.01)45.24% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.41% (0.015000000000001 0.02)67.59% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)
Torquay United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.56% (0.007000000000005 0.01)17.44% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.1% (0.015999999999998 0.02)47.9% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Welling United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.56% (0.0010000000000048 0)32.44% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.03% (0.0019999999999989 0)68.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Torquay United 51.9%
    Welling United 24.49%
    Draw 23.6%
Torquay UnitedDrawWelling United
1-0 @ 9.88% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.63% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.65% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 5.02% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.18% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 2.47% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 2.19% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.39% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 51.9%
1-1 @ 11.12%
0-0 @ 5.66% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.6%
0-1 @ 6.37% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-2 @ 6.26% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 3.59% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 2.35%
2-3 @ 2.05%
0-3 @ 1.35% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 24.49%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Torquay Utd 0-1 Maidstone
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 3-2 Torquay Utd
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Torquay Utd 2-1 Chelmsford City
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Torquay Utd 3-0 Farnborough
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Aveley 2-1 Torquay Utd
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Torquay Utd 2-1 Braintree
Monday, August 28 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 2-2 Farnborough
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 2-2 Welling United
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 0-1 Bath City
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 2-0 Welling United
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 0-0 St Albans City
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 0-1 Welling United
Monday, August 28 at 3pm in National League South


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