SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 56.17%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 21.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Welling United win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Welling United |
56.17% ( 0.02) | 22.65% ( -0.02) | 21.18% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 54.68% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.32% ( 0.07) | 44.68% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.96% ( 0.07) | 67.04% ( -0.07) |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.27% ( 0.03) | 15.73% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.19% ( 0.06) | 44.82% ( -0.06) |
| Welling United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.88% ( 0.04) | 35.12% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.13% ( 0.04) | 71.87% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Welling United |
| 1-0 @ 10.21% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.83% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.82% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.7% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0)5-0 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 2.47% Total : 56.17% | 1-1 @ 10.69% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.65% | 0-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.59% 0-2 @ 3.02% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.95% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.98% Total : 21.18% |
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