Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 56.93%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Welling United win it was 1-0 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Welling United	Draw	Worthing
20.5% ( 1.49)	22.56% ( 0.2)	56.93% ( -1.69)

Both teams to score 53.93% (

1.81)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.82% (

1.19)

45.18% (

-1.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.47% (

1.14)

67.52% (

-1.14)

Welling United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.93% (

2.25)

36.07% (

-2.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.14% (

2.23)

72.85% (

-2.23)

Worthing Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.35% (

-0.15)

15.64% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.33% (

-0.28)

44.66% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

Welling United 20.5%

Worthing 56.93%

Draw 22.56%

Welling United	Draw	Worthing
1-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 5.44% ( 0.35) 2-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.2) 3-0 @ 1% ( 0.12) Other @ 1.81% Total : 20.5%	1-1 @ 10.67% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.3) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.56%	0-1 @ 10.46% ( -0.61) 1-2 @ 9.9% 0-2 @ 9.71% ( -0.61) 1-3 @ 6.12% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 6% ( -0.41) 2-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.17) 1-4 @ 2.84% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 2.79% ( -0.21) 2-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.07) 1-5 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 1.03% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.45% Total : 56.93%