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National League South | Gameweek 38
Mar 9, 2024 at 4pm UK
Woodspring Stadium
DA

Weston
1 - 0
Dover Athletic

Dodd (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Weston-super-Mare and Dover Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chippenham 0-1 Weston
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 0-1 Maidstone
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weston-super-Mare win with a probability of 62.83%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 17.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Weston-super-Mare win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 1-0 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 1-2 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Weston-super-Mare would win this match.

Result
Weston-super-MareDrawDover Athletic
62.83% (-0.012 -0.01) 19.84% (0.0019999999999989 0) 17.33% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 57.49% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.29% (0.012999999999998 0.01)37.71% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.05% (0.012 0.01)59.95% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Weston-super-Mare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.53% (0.00099999999999056 0)11.47% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.69%36.31% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Dover Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.94% (0.021000000000001 0.02)35.06% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.19% (0.021999999999998 0.02)71.81% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Weston-super-Mare 62.83%
    Dover Athletic 17.33%
    Draw 19.84%
Weston-super-MareDrawDover Athletic
2-1 @ 9.88%
2-0 @ 9.43% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-0 @ 8.71% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 7.13%
3-0 @ 6.81% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-1 @ 3.86%
3-2 @ 3.74% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 3.68% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 2.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.67% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.6% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 4.3%
Total : 62.83%
1-1 @ 9.13%
2-2 @ 5.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 4.02% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 19.84%
1-2 @ 4.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 4.22% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 2.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.81% (0.002 0)
1-3 @ 1.67% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 17.33%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Chippenham 0-1 Weston
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Yeovil 2-1 Weston
Tuesday, February 20 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 1-2 Weston
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Slough 2-0 Weston
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 1-1 Weston
Monday, January 29 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Weston 3-1 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 0-1 Maidstone
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chippenham 2-1 Dover Athletic
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 0-1 St Albans City
Tuesday, February 20 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-2 Dartford
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 6-4 Dover Athletic
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 3-0 Dover Athletic
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in National League South


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