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National League South | Gameweek 10
Sep 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vauxhall Ground
TU

Hemel Hemps.
3 - 2
Torquay Utd

Whittaker (9'), Judd (85'), Brown (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Hemel Hempstead Town and Torquay United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Worthing 1-1 Hemel Hempstead
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Torquay Utd 2-1 Chelmsford City
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawTorquay United
30.59% (-0.061 -0.06) 26.68% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03) 42.74% (0.083999999999996 0.08)
Both teams to score 50.63% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.86% (0.071999999999996 0.07)54.14% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.44% (0.061 0.06)75.56% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.59% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)32.41% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.07% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)68.93% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Torquay United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.91% (0.075000000000003 0.08)25.09% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.22% (0.105 0.11)59.78% (-0.108 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Hemel Hempstead Town 30.59%
    Torquay United 42.73%
    Draw 26.67%
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawTorquay United
1-0 @ 9.16% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.14% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.16% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.68% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-0 @ 1.94% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.85% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 30.59%
1-1 @ 12.66% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.13% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.93% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.67%
0-1 @ 11.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.76% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.77% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.04% (0.015 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.58% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.27% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.4% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.24% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 42.73%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Worthing 1-1 Hemel Hempstead
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 1-2 Hemel Hempstead
Monday, September 4 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 0-0 Truro City
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weston 1-1 Hemel Hempstead
Monday, August 28 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 1-1 Maidstone
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 1-2 Weymouth
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Torquay Utd 2-1 Chelmsford City
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Torquay Utd 3-0 Farnborough Town
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Aveley 2-1 Torquay Utd
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Torquay Utd 2-1 Braintree
Monday, August 28 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Slough 1-2 Torquay Utd
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 0-1 Torquay Utd
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in National League South


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