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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 45.53%. A win for Weston-super-Mare had a probability of 29.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Weston-super-Mare win was 1-0 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Weston-super-Mare | Draw | Chelmsford City |
29.29% ( -0.04) | 25.17% ( 0.01) | 45.53% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 54.68% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.42% ( -0.06) | 48.57% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.3% ( -0.05) | 70.69% ( 0.05) |
| Weston-super-Mare Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.52% ( -0.06) | 30.48% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.3% ( -0.07) | 66.69% ( 0.07) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.64% ( -0.01) | 21.35% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.68% ( -0.01) | 54.31% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Weston-super-Mare | Draw | Chelmsford City |
| 1-0 @ 7.73% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.59% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.08% Total : 29.29% | 1-1 @ 11.93% 0-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.17% | 0-1 @ 10.04% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.22% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.76% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.74% 0-3 @ 3.99% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.82% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.83% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.54% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 2.49% Total : 45.52% |
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