SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weymouth win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Dartford had a probability of 35.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Weymouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Dartford win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Weymouth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Weymouth | Draw | Dartford |
38.87% ( -0.7) | 25.3% ( 0.05) | 35.82% ( 0.65) |
| Both teams to score 56.6% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.88% ( -0.14) | 47.12% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.64% ( -0.13) | 69.35% ( 0.13) |
| Weymouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.07% ( -0.42) | 23.93% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.85% ( -0.61) | 58.15% ( 0.61) |
| Dartford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.4% ( 0.3) | 25.6% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.52% ( 0.41) | 60.48% ( -0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Weymouth | Draw | Dartford |
| 1-0 @ 8.76% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 4.07% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.98% Total : 38.87% | 1-1 @ 11.93% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.3% | 0-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 3.69% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.48% Total : 35.82% |
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