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National League South | Gameweek 17
Feb 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Bob Lucas Stadium
CR

Weymouth
1 - 2
Concord Rangers

Blair (30')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Modeste (59'), Bettamer (82')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Weymouth and Concord Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Weymouth 2-1 Dulwich Hamlet
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Concord Rangers 0-1 Farnborough Town
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weymouth win with a probability of 61.8%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Concord Rangers had a probability of 16.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Weymouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.39%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Concord Rangers win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
WeymouthDrawConcord Rangers
61.8% (2.675 2.68) 21.74% (-1.116 -1.12) 16.46% (-1.557 -1.56)
Both teams to score 49.16% (0.36199999999999 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.19% (2.083 2.08)47.82% (-2.08 -2.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30% (1.89 1.89)70% (-1.887 -1.89)
Weymouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.06% (1.602 1.6)14.94% (-1.599 -1.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.66% (2.959 2.96)43.34% (-2.956 -2.96)
Concord Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.79% (-0.675 -0.68)42.21% (0.678 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.39% (-0.589 -0.59)78.62% (0.592 0.59)
Score Analysis
    Weymouth 61.79%
    Concord Rangers 16.46%
    Draw 21.74%
WeymouthDrawConcord Rangers
1-0 @ 11.98% (-0.37 -0.37)
2-0 @ 11.39% (0.27 0.27)
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.057 0.06)
3-0 @ 7.22% (0.551 0.55)
3-1 @ 6.23% (0.367 0.37)
4-0 @ 3.43% (0.431 0.43)
4-1 @ 2.96% (0.324 0.32)
3-2 @ 2.69% (0.11 0.11)
5-0 @ 1.31% (0.225 0.23)
4-2 @ 1.28% (0.118 0.12)
5-1 @ 1.13% (0.177 0.18)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 61.79%
1-1 @ 10.34% (-0.52 -0.52)
0-0 @ 6.31% (-0.562 -0.56)
2-2 @ 4.24% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 21.74%
0-1 @ 5.44% (-0.596 -0.6)
1-2 @ 4.46% (-0.312 -0.31)
0-2 @ 2.35% (-0.306 -0.31)
1-3 @ 1.28% (-0.116 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.22% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 16.46%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Weymouth 2-1 Dulwich Hamlet
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 2-1 Hampton
Tuesday, January 31 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Oxford City 3-1 Weymouth
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 1-2 Chelmsford City
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 4-1 Weymouth
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 1-3 Taunton Town
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Concord Rangers 0-1 Farnborough Town
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 4-1 Concord Rangers
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Concord Rangers 1-2 Oxford City
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Concord Rangers 1-1 Cheshunt
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Cheshunt 4-2 Concord Rangers
Monday, December 26 at 12.30pm in National League South
Last Game: Slough 0-0 Concord Rangers
Tuesday, December 6 at 7.45pm in National League South


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