SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Weymouth had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Weymouth win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hemel Hempstead Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Weymouth |
39.97% ( 0.06) | 24.54% ( 0.02) | 35.49% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 59.26% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.34% ( -0.11) | 43.66% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.95% ( -0.11) | 66.05% ( 0.11) |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.15% ( -0.02) | 21.85% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.91% ( -0.03) | 55.08% ( 0.04) |
| Weymouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.82% ( -0.09) | 24.17% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.5% ( -0.14) | 58.5% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Weymouth |
| 2-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.4% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0)Other @ 2.5% Total : 39.97% | 1-1 @ 11.4% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.54% | 1-2 @ 8.1% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.5% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.33% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.9% Total : 35.49% |
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