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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weymouth win with a probability of 47.72%. A win for Concord Rangers had a probability of 27.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Weymouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Concord Rangers win was 1-0 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Weymouth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Concord Rangers | Draw | Weymouth |
27.96% ( -0.07) | 24.31% ( -0.04) | 47.72% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 56.61% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.38% ( 0.1) | 45.61% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.06% ( 0.1) | 67.94% ( -0.1) |
| Concord Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.08% ( -0) | 29.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.97% ( -0) | 66.02% ( -0) |
| Weymouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.79% ( 0.08) | 19.21% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.1% ( 0.14) | 50.9% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Concord Rangers | Draw | Weymouth |
| 1-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.18% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.19% Total : 27.96% | 1-1 @ 11.44% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.31% | 0-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.44% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.82% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.19% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 4.3% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.14% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.15% Total : 47.72% |
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