SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 63.77%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Weymouth had a probability of 16.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 1-0 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%), while for a Weymouth win it was 1-2 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Farnborough Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Farnborough Town | Draw | Weymouth |
63.77% ( 0.41) | 19.45% ( -0.06) | 16.79% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 57.71% ( -0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.13% ( -0.41) | 36.87% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.95% ( -0.45) | 59.05% ( 0.45) |
| Farnborough Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.02% ( -0.02) | 10.98% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.77% ( -0.03) | 35.23% ( 0.03) |
| Weymouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.83% ( -0.66) | 35.18% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.07% ( -0.7) | 71.93% ( 0.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| Farnborough Town | Draw | Weymouth |
| 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.42% ( 0.18)1-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 7.25% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.13)4-1 @ 4.01% 4-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.77% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.03)5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.67% Total : 63.77% | 1-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.21% Total : 19.45% | 1-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 4.04% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.57% Total : 16.79% |
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