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National League South | Gameweek 11
Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Clarence Park

St Albans City
2 - 3
Eastbourne

Weiss (1'), Fage (49')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Emmerson (46', 57', 73')
Coverage of the National League South clash between St Albans City and Eastbourne Borough.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelmsford City 0-2 St Albans City
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Taunton Town 2-1 Eastbourne
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 48.32%. A win for Eastbourne Borough had a probability of 26.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Eastbourne Borough win was 0-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
St Albans CityDrawEastbourne Borough
48.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 25.16% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 26.51% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 52.69% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.76% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)50.23% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.81% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)72.19% (0.0049999999999955 0)
St Albans City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.19% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)20.81% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.52% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)53.48% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Eastbourne Borough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.54% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)33.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.91% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)70.09% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Score Analysis
    St Albans City 48.32%
    Eastbourne Borough 26.51%
    Draw 25.16%
St Albans CityDrawEastbourne Borough
1-0 @ 10.93% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 8.58%
3-1 @ 4.91% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.49%
3-2 @ 2.69% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.93%
4-0 @ 1.76%
4-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 48.32%
1-1 @ 11.96%
0-0 @ 6.96% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.16%
0-1 @ 7.62% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 6.55% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.17% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.39%
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 26.51%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Chelmsford City 0-2 St Albans City
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 1-0 Dartford
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 2-0 Dover Athletic
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 0-0 St Albans City
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 0-2 Bath City
Monday, August 28 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Taunton Town 3-2 St Albans City
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Taunton Town 2-1 Eastbourne
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 2-2 Welling United
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Yeovil 3-2 Eastbourne
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 1-2 Eastbourne
Wednesday, September 6 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 2-1 Weston
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 1-0 Eastbourne
Monday, August 28 at 3pm in National League South


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