SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weymouth win with a probability of 50.76%. A win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 25.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Weymouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.64%) and 0-2 (8.6%). The likeliest Dover Athletic win was 1-0 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Weymouth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dover Athletic | Draw | Weymouth |
25.18% ( -0.15) | 24.06% ( 0.02) | 50.76% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 55% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.39% ( -0.2) | 46.6% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.12% ( -0.19) | 68.87% ( 0.18) |
| Dover Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.4% ( -0.23) | 32.6% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.86% ( -0.26) | 69.14% ( 0.26) |
| Weymouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.61% ( -0.03) | 18.39% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.47% ( -0.04) | 49.52% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dover Athletic | Draw | Weymouth |
| 1-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.38% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.52% Total : 25.18% | 1-1 @ 11.37% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.05% | 0-1 @ 10.15% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.64% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.6% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 5.44% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.85% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.3% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.06% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.39% Total : 50.76% |
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