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National League South | Gameweek 10
Sep 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Priory Lane Stadium

Eastbourne
2 - 2
Welling United

Sheriff (45+2' pen.), Remy (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Tanga (67'), Abrahams (73')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Eastbourne Borough and Welling United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Yeovil 3-2 Eastbourne
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 0-1 Bath City
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastbourne Borough win with a probability of 48.45%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 27.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eastbourne Borough win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Welling United win was 0-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Eastbourne BoroughDrawWelling United
48.45% (0.095000000000006 0.1) 24.45% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 27.09% (-0.087 -0.09)
Both teams to score 55.46% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.18% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)46.82% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.92% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)69.08% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Eastbourne Borough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.61% (0.034999999999997 0.03)19.39% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.8% (0.058 0.06)51.2% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Welling United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.8% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)31.2% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.46% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)67.54% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Eastbourne Borough 48.45%
    Welling United 27.09%
    Draw 24.45%
Eastbourne BoroughDrawWelling United
1-0 @ 9.92% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.48% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.14% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.18% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.45% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.02%
4-1 @ 2.13% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.83% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 48.45%
1-1 @ 11.55% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.05% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 5.52% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.45%
0-1 @ 7.05% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.73% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.1% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.61% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.14% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.59% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 27.09%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Yeovil 3-2 Eastbourne
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 1-2 Eastbourne
Wednesday, September 6 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 2-1 Weston
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 1-0 Eastbourne
Monday, August 28 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 0-1 Truro City
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 1-2 Bath City
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 0-1 Bath City
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 2-0 Welling United
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 0-0 St Albans City
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 0-1 Welling United
Monday, August 28 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 3-2 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Taunton Town 1-0 Welling United
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in National League South


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