Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 80.38%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for Weymouth had a probability of 7.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.84%), while for a Weymouth win it was 1-2 (2.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
