SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yeovil Town win with a probability of 51.36%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Farnborough Town had a probability of 23.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yeovil Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Farnborough Town win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yeovil Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Yeovil Town | Draw | Farnborough Town |
51.36% ( 0.07) | 24.91% ( -0.03) | 23.73% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 50.79% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.57% ( 0.08) | 51.43% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.76% ( 0.07) | 73.24% ( -0.07) |
| Yeovil Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.98% ( 0.06) | 20.02% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.78% ( 0.1) | 52.22% ( -0.09) |
| Farnborough Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.51% ( 0.01) | 36.49% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.72% ( 0.01) | 73.28% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Yeovil Town | Draw | Farnborough Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.75% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.45% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.11% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.05% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 2.76% Total : 51.36% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.31% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0)Other @ 0.96% Total : 24.91% | 0-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.97% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.01% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 1.81% Total : 23.73% |
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