Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yeovil Town win with a probability of 44.52%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yeovil Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yeovil Town would win this match.
