SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Worthing had a probability of 37.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.98%) and 0-2 (5.12%). The likeliest Worthing win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Farnborough Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Worthing | Draw | Farnborough Town |
37.08% ( -1.79) | 22.79% ( 0.3) | 40.13% ( 1.5) |
| Both teams to score 66.13% ( -1.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.19% ( -1.64) | 34.82% ( 1.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.22% ( -1.86) | 56.79% ( 1.87) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.64% ( -1.52) | 19.36% ( 1.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.85% ( -2.56) | 51.15% ( 2.57) |
| Farnborough Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82% ( -0.05) | 18% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.14% ( -0.09) | 48.87% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Worthing | Draw | Farnborough Town |
| 2-1 @ 8.06% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.21)2-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.29)3-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.25)3-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.21)4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.19)4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.12)Other @ 3.43% Total : 37.08% | 1-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 6.91% ( -0.11)0-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.29)3-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.79% | 1-2 @ 8.41% ( 0.27) 0-1 @ 5.98% ( 0.48)0-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.4)1-3 @ 4.81% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 3.95% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.23)1-4 @ 2.06% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.1)3-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.99% Total : 40.13% |
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