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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 52.06%. A win for Hampton & Richmond had a probability of 27.63% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.42%) and 2-0 (5.43%). The likeliest Hampton & Richmond win was 1-2 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Worthing | Draw | Hampton & Richmond |
52.06% ( 1.6) | 20.31% ( -0.07) | 27.63% ( -1.53) |
| Both teams to score 71.09% ( -1.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.42% ( -0.8) | 26.58% ( 0.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.04% ( -1.02) | 46.95% ( 1.02) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.18% ( 0.16) | 10.82% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.11% ( 0.34) | 34.88% ( -0.35) |
| Hampton & Richmond Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.72% ( -1.27) | 20.28% ( 1.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.36% ( -2.07) | 52.63% ( 2.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Worthing | Draw | Hampton & Richmond |
| 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 6.42% ( 0.19)2-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.33)3-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.05)1-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.27)3-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.27)4-1 @ 3.57% ( 0.13)4-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.24% ( 0.16)5-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.07)4-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.07)5-2 @ 1.27% ( 0)5-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.53% Total : 52.06% | 1-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.91% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.14)0-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.7% Total : 20.31% | 1-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.21)0-1 @ 3.5% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.21)0-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.11)2-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.15)1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.14)3-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.79% Total : 27.63% |
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