SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 58.2%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Altrincham had a probability of 20.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.55%) and 1-0 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for an Altrincham win it was 1-2 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Barnet in this match.
| Result | ||
| Barnet | Draw | Altrincham |
58.2% ( -0.86) | 21.02% ( 0.47) | 20.77% ( 0.39) |
| Both teams to score 59.65% ( -1.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.19% ( -1.68) | 37.81% ( 1.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.94% ( -1.82) | 60.06% ( 1.82) |
| Barnet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.21% ( -0.78) | 12.79% ( 0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.9% ( -1.62) | 39.09% ( 1.62) |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.4% ( -0.61) | 31.6% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32% ( -0.7) | 68% ( 0.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnet | Draw | Altrincham |
| 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.55% ( 0.19)1-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.42)3-1 @ 6.75% ( -0.17)3-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 3.47% ( -0.2)4-0 @ 3.01% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 2% ( -0.15)5-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.13)5-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.86% Total : 58.2% | 1-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.32)3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.02% | 1-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.29)0-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.59% Total : 20.77% |
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