Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 48.45%. A win for Weymouth had a probability of 26.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Weymouth win was 0-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Altrincham would win this match.
