Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 58.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Wealdstone had a probability of 20.11%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Wealdstone win it was 1-2 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Altrincham would win this match.
