Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 60.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Weymouth had a probability of 16.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.6%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Weymouth win it was 1-0 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.