SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 66.96%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 14.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.37%) and 1-0 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%), while for a Dorking Wanderers win it was 1-2 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barnet | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
66.96% ( -0.04) | 18.09% ( 0.02) | 14.94% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 58.3% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.93% ( -0.06) | 34.07% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.05% ( -0.06) | 55.95% ( 0.07) |
| Barnet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.59% ( -0.03) | 9.41% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.35% ( -0.06) | 31.65% ( 0.06) |
| Dorking Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.35% ( -0) | 35.64% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.58% ( -0.01) | 72.41% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnet | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.37% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.61% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.38% ( -0)4-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.93% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 4.62% Total : 66.96% | 1-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 18.09% | 1-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.46% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.79% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.71% 1-3 @ 1.45% ( 0)Other @ 2.32% Total : 14.94% |
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