SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 58.49%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 18.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Yeovil Town win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barnet | Draw | Yeovil Town |
58.49% ( 0.04) | 22.52% ( -0.02) | 18.99% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 51.56% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.9% ( 0.02) | 47.1% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.66% ( 0.02) | 69.34% ( -0.02) |
| Barnet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.21% ( 0.02) | 15.78% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.07% ( 0.04) | 44.92% ( -0.04) |
| Yeovil Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.22% ( -0.02) | 38.78% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.48% ( -0.02) | 75.51% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnet | Draw | Yeovil Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.3% 2-0 @ 10.43% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.08% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.88% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.81% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.09% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 2.27% Total : 58.49% | 1-1 @ 10.7% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.52% | 0-1 @ 5.8% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.6% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0)Other @ 2.3% Total : 18.99% |
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