Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 53.55%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 24.29% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.
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