SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 44.83%. A win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Yeovil Town win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| York City | Draw | Yeovil Town |
44.83% ( 0.08) | 26.4% ( -0.04) | 28.77% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 50.52% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.17% ( 0.13) | 53.83% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.7% ( 0.11) | 75.3% ( -0.1) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.09% ( 0.09) | 23.91% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.87% ( 0.13) | 58.13% ( -0.13) |
| Yeovil Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.4% ( 0.04) | 33.6% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.76% ( 0.04) | 70.24% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| York City | Draw | Yeovil Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.49% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.22% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.68% Total : 44.83% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.39% | 0-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.84% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.74% ( -0)Other @ 2.38% Total : 28.77% |
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