Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 58.23%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Barnet had a probability of 18.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.95%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Barnet win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
