Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 37.58%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
