SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 46.38%. A win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 28% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest Dagenham & Redbridge win was 1-0 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dagenham & Redbridge | Draw | Gateshead |
28% ( 0.69) | 25.62% ( 0.73) | 46.38% ( -1.43) |
| Both teams to score 52.42% ( -1.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.86% ( -2.61) | 51.14% ( 2.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.01% ( -2.33) | 72.99% ( 2.33) |
| Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.23% ( -0.84) | 32.77% ( 0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.67% ( -0.95) | 69.33% ( 0.95) |
| Gateshead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.96% ( -1.7) | 22.04% ( 1.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.63% ( -2.64) | 55.37% ( 2.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dagenham & Redbridge | Draw | Gateshead |
| 1-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.64) 2-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 4.5% ( 0.26)3-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.54% Total : 28% | 1-1 @ 12.18% ( 0.38) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.73)2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.23)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.62% | 0-1 @ 10.92% ( 0.58) 1-2 @ 9.22% ( -0.19)0-2 @ 8.26% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.65% ( -0.35)0-3 @ 4.16% ( -0.21)2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.26)1-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.23)0-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.17)2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.16)Other @ 2.27% Total : 46.38% |
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