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National League | Gameweek 23
Mar 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Gateshead International Stadium
D&

Gateshead
3 - 0
Dag & Red

Storey (26', 35'), Olley (67')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Hare (45'), Onariase (56')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aldershot 2-3 Gateshead
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Torquay Utd 1-2 Dag & Red
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League

We said: Gateshead 2-1 Dagenham & Redbridge

Gateshead earned a vital win at Aldershot on the weekend and will now be confident of collecting three points on home soil on Tuesday night against Dagenham. The Daggers make the long midweek trip to the North East for this game, and we feel Strevens's men could come up short on Tyneside in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 46.92%. A win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Dagenham & Redbridge win was 0-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.

Result
GatesheadDrawDagenham & Redbridge
46.92% (0.953 0.95) 24.62% (-0.128 -0.13) 28.46% (-0.825 -0.82)
Both teams to score 55.96% (-0.125 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.35% (0.088000000000001 0.09)46.64% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.08% (0.081 0.08)68.91% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)
Gateshead Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.04% (0.44200000000001 0.44)19.95% (-0.444 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.88% (0.708 0.71)52.12% (-0.709 -0.71)
Dagenham & Redbridge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.91% (-0.54599999999999 -0.55)30.09% (0.545 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.77% (-0.662 -0.66)66.23% (0.661 0.66)
Score Analysis
    Gateshead 46.92%
    Dagenham & Redbridge 28.46%
    Draw 24.62%
GatesheadDrawDagenham & Redbridge
1-0 @ 9.68% (0.096 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.37% (0.081 0.08)
2-0 @ 7.8% (0.183 0.18)
3-1 @ 5.03% (0.112 0.11)
3-0 @ 4.19% (0.155 0.16)
3-2 @ 3.02% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.03% (0.072 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.69% (0.084 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 46.92%
1-1 @ 11.62% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 6% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.62% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.62%
0-1 @ 7.21% (-0.137 -0.14)
1-2 @ 6.98% (-0.142 -0.14)
0-2 @ 4.33% (-0.15 -0.15)
1-3 @ 2.79% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.73% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 28.46%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Aldershot 2-3 Gateshead
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Gateshead 1-1 Torquay Utd
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Gateshead 0-0 Halifax
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Gateshead 1-2 Chesterfield
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Maidstone 1-1 Gateshead
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Gateshead 2-1 Oldham
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Torquay Utd 1-2 Dag & Red
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Dag & Red 1-1 Oldham
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Dag & Red 0-4 Wrexham
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Dag & Red 2-1 York City
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Maidenhead 2-1 Dag & Red
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Notts County 1-2 Dag & Red
Saturday, February 25 at 5.20pm in National League


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