Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 46.92%. A win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Dagenham & Redbridge win was 0-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.
Result | ||
Gateshead | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
46.92% ( 0.95) | 24.62% ( -0.13) | 28.46% ( -0.82) |
Both teams to score 55.96% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.35% ( 0.09) | 46.64% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.08% ( 0.08) | 68.91% ( -0.08) |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.04% ( 0.44) | 19.95% ( -0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.88% ( 0.71) | 52.12% ( -0.71) |
Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.91% ( -0.55) | 30.09% ( 0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.77% ( -0.66) | 66.23% ( 0.66) |
Score Analysis |
Gateshead | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
1-0 @ 9.68% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 5.03% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.9% Total : 46.92% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.62% | 0-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.16% Total : 28.46% |
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