SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Halifax Town win with a probability of 53.33%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 22.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Halifax Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Dorking Wanderers win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Halifax Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Halifax Town | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
53.33% ( -0.7) | 23.83% ( 0.68) | 22.83% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.08% ( -2.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.11% ( -2.93) | 47.88% ( 2.93) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.93% ( -2.76) | 70.06% ( 2.75) |
| Halifax Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.1% ( -1.33) | 17.89% ( 1.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.32% ( -2.34) | 48.68% ( 2.33) |
| Dorking Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.64% ( -1.61) | 35.35% ( 1.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.89% ( -1.71) | 72.1% ( 1.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Halifax Town | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 10.88% ( 0.84) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.33)3-1 @ 5.59% ( -0.3)3-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.29)4-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.24)4-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.19)Other @ 3.52% Total : 53.33% | 1-1 @ 11.31% ( 0.4) 0-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.73)2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.27)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.83% | 0-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.5) 1-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.18)0-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.97% Total : 22.83% |
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