SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Maidstone United | 8 | -6 | 11 |
| 13 | Dorking Wanderers | 8 | -8 | 10 |
| 14 | Southend United | 8 | -1 | 8 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Wrexham | 8 | 15 | 19 |
| 3 | Notts County | 8 | 14 | 18 |
| 4 | Solihull Moors | 8 | 13 | 17 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 64.68%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 16.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.34%) and 1-3 (7.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Dorking Wanderers win it was 2-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Notts County |
16.88% ( 0.27) | 18.44% ( -0.35) | 64.68% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 61.85% ( 2.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.32% ( 2.3) | 31.68% ( -2.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.81% ( 2.65) | 53.19% ( -2.64) |
| Dorking Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.18% ( 1.75) | 31.82% ( -1.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.75% ( 1.96) | 68.25% ( -1.95) |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.71% ( 0.66) | 9.28% ( -0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.65% ( 1.54) | 31.35% ( -1.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Notts County |
| 2-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.26)3-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.09)Other @ 3.11% Total : 16.88% | 1-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.37) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.17)0-0 @ 2.95% ( -0.38)3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.17)Other @ 0.32% Total : 18.44% | 1-2 @ 9.56% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 8.34% ( -0.55)1-3 @ 7.57% ( 0.1)0-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.68)0-3 @ 6.61% ( -0.23)1-4 @ 4.5% ( 0.19)2-3 @ 4.34% ( 0.26)0-4 @ 3.93% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 2.58% ( 0.22)1-5 @ 2.14% ( 0.15)0-5 @ 1.87% ( 0.05)2-5 @ 1.23% ( 0.14)3-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.13)Other @ 4.03% Total : 64.68% |
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